Sunday, May 15, 2022

Robin is pleased to announce the launching of RHO DLC Trader Group and RHO DLC Discussion Telegram Group (15 May 2022)

To help out those who are keen but new and inexperience in trading DLCs, Robin is pleased to announce that he will be launching two new telegram chat groups where he will be sharing his DLC insights and trade ideas.

Robin has been actively involved with Societe Generale (SocGen) in the promotion of DLCs since it was first launched on SGX in 2017. He regularly featured as a guest speaker and strategist in market outlooks and seminars held by SocGen to promote DLCs as a financial tool to profit from the markets.

The leverage factor of DLCs means price movements can be very volatile depending on the nature of the underlying asset. Therefore, having a trading veteran like Robin with vast experience in trading DLCs and stocks is essential to guide those who are new and inexperience to achieve success trading DLCs.

Robin has a strong conviction that DLCs are useful for both traders and investors in Singapore to generate exceptional returns.

RHO DLC Traders Group RHO
One-way communication telegram chatgroup catered for participants who wish only to listen to Robin’s DLC post and trade ideas.

RHO DLC Discussion group
Is a two-way communication telegram group catered for those who want to discuss about DLC and passionate about sharing DLC trade ideas.
The chat groups provide a platform for participants to express and contribute their opinions/views of the market as well as promote interaction amongst members with an opportunity to learn from one another’s success and mistakes.
The content posts for both DLC Chatgroups are the same. Robin will prioritise his posts in RHO DLC Traders Group.

Benefits of joining the RHO DLC Chatgroup/(s):
• Detailed Trade Plans of Specific Stocks and Market insights
• Market moving news alerts
• Bite size DLC education feeds
• Updates on newly launch DLCs

How to register?
Kindly click on the link to fill up the registration form:
Both RHO DLC Chat Group activities to commence on 17 May 2022 (Tuesday).

About Robin Ho:
Robin is one of the most active and successful traders in Phillip Capital. He is also amongst the top Trading Representatives, taking care of about 2000 clients with more than $50 million of assets under custody. His flagship Unit Trust advisory service is highly sought after by clients who wants an experienced hand to manage their funds. The model portfolio has achieved stellar returns over the past one year since it launched.

He became a well sought-after speaker after turning $100,000 into $2 million in 15 months during the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Institutions such as Singapore Exchange (SGX), Societe Generale DLC, Macquarie Warrants and Phillip CFD have partnered with him on various projects, including seminars, weekly market analysis, market outlook conferences and trader fairs, bringing professional knowledge to the retail investors.

His views are also highly sought by the media, such as The Business Times, Lianhe Zaobao, The New Paper, Wo Bao and The Borneo Post.

For more than 15 years, he has trained thousands of students, including professional traders in his signature Price Action Trading Course. It is one of the longest running courses in Singapore which is constantly updated according to the ever-evolving investment landscape. It is also famous for its live trading session in which participants put their newly acquired skills into practice. Since 2012, he has been appointed as a professional trainer with SGX Academy.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Wednesday, May 11, 2022

What You Need To Know About This Bear Market

Dow and S&P are racing to bear market territory. 

Watch for 20%: Market cycles are measured from peak to trough, so a stock index officially reaches bear territory when the closing price drops at least 20% from its most recent high (whereas a correction is a drop of 10%-19.9%). A new bull market begins when the closing price gains 20% from its low.

I have learnt in my 35 years in the stock market that when the macro turns and the market corrects, the weak get weaker. 

Always choose to short the weaker sector like the Nasdaq and Russell because they fall faster . 

Dow Jones is down 13% from the peak, S&P 500 17.5% , Nasdaq 100 down 27.6% and Russell 2000 down 28.6% from its peak 

Stocks lose 36% on average in a bear market. 

We are not there yet.

Bear markets tend to be short-lived. The average length of a bear market is 289 days, or about 9.6 months. 

We are not there yet.

Every 3.6 years: That’s the long-term average frequency between bear markets. Though many consider the bull market that start after the great financial crisis in 2008 and ended in 2021 to be the longest on record. 

Here’s is the danger , the longest bull market may begat an exceptionally long bear market much longer than the average 289 days .

This bear market still has Legs to go further and longer .

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only
Tuesday, May 10, 2022

Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) - Well defined long-term trendline that stretches back to 2017 is suggesting that Amazon heading lower towards 2215 and prehaps 2035.

On 2 May 2022 (Monday), this trade plan on Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) was posted on my Telegram Stock Chat Group when the stock was at 2,485. 

Last night, Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) traded at a low of 2,159 (down more than 5%) and has hit my first target at 2,215 before closing at 2,175. The stock is down more than 12% since this trade plan was posted.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

Russell 2000 Index (10 May 2022)

On May 6 2022 (last Friday), this trade plan on Russell 2000 Index was posted on my Telegram Stock Chat Group when the index was at 1,871.

The trade plan reflected a short-term profit potential of about 150 points (with an immediate target price at 1,726).

Last night, Russell 2000 Index traded at a low of 1,754 (down more than 4%) nearing my target before rebounding to close at 1,762.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

City Dev (SGX:C09) – One month uptrend channel broke down.

On May 4 2022 (last Wednesday), this trade plan on City Dev (SGX:C09) was posted on my Telegram Stock Chat Group when the stock was at 8.05.

City Dev (SGX:C09) traded at a low of 7.88 (down more than 2%) this morning.

Last trading at 7.93. Next target at 7.83 and 7.63. Stop loss at 8.45.

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only

This Is Why I Continue To Believe This Bear Market On Growth Stocks Is In Its Early Innings

TINA - A common refrain since the March 2009 market low has been “there is no alternative” (TINA) — a catchphrase used as justification for buying stocks amidst ever higher price-to-earnings multiples where treasury yield are close to zero . 

Benchmark Treasury yields definitively broke above 3%, moving further above their four-decade downtrend which intimates a new era has begun. A cold look at the long-term chart shows the next obvious stop should be around 4% The higher yields go, the more appealing they become for many investors and increased fears of a global recession suggests that some may soon consider returning to bonds. 

Tina has reversed so has the “buy on dip strategy”. In the recent months “ Sell into strength”  has overtaken  “buying into dip” as a dominant and profitable  strategy . The  continuing weakness of the Treasury bond market, in the face of a hawkish Fed, is the best evidence of stagflationary concerns. It has also reconfirmed the death of risk parity with bonds and equities both down year to date in America. The S&P500 has declined by 9.4% on a total-return basis year-to-date, while the Bloomberg US Long-term (10Y+) Treasury Bond Index is down 19% . The longer this state of affairs continues, the more likely it is to trigger severe collateral financial damage somewhere. A Hawkish Fed  trying to regain credibility remains plain bearish for growth stocks which is why, I have been so bearish on Nasdaq. The forward price-earnings gap between the MSCI AC World Growth Index and its value equivalent has come back down to around 10 points, having reached as high as 16 points in January last year. The bad news is that the long-term average valuation gap between global growth and value shares is about 5 P/E points, something which suggests the premium still has room to shrink even further.

Another danger lurking on  the horizon for  equities is a growing risk of mass redemptions from ETFs with the sell-off exacerbated by the reality that everybody owns the same stocks (Fanngs) because of the socialist monstrosity know as passive investment or “indexation”. This is why I continues to believe this bear market on Growth stocks is in its early innings .

All posts and charts are for educational and illustration purposes only